The Contrarian’s Playbook: Why the Smartest Investors Buy When Everyone Hates Crypto
For the last couple of years, I haven't been talking about crypto as much as I used to. With everything going on in the world… the globalist agenda, the geopolitical madness, the push toward Digital ID’s and Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs)… it felt like there were other urgent fires to shine a light on.
But it’s time to get back to our roots. Crypto is one of the absolute biggest value drivers in The Dollar Vigilante’s history. We featured Bitcoin at $3 back in 2011, and we recommended Ethereum at $2 in 2016.
Ed Bugos, my partner and senior analyst at TDV, and I always laugh and cry about the same frustrating pattern: nobody wants to sign up for financial newsletters when assets are dirt cheap. Everyone waits until Bitcoin is smashing all-time highs and featured on every mainstream news outlet before they get excited and buy the top.
So we decided to switch things up. We are currently in a crypto bear market. We’re getting close to the end of it… likely within the next few months. That means right now, when everyone is terrified or bored, is the absolute best time to position yourself.
That’s why we’re running Crypto Week, and why I brought Ed on for a deep dive into where the markets are headed… and why you need to be paying attention before the crowd returns.
The Broker Who Saw the Tech Bubble Pop and Gold Hit $4,000
If you don't know Ed Bugos' background, the guy is a legend. Back during the dot-com bubble in the late 1990s, Ed was working as a stockbroker in Vancouver. While every other broker was telling clients to buy overhyped tech stocks, Ed told his clients to sell all their tech shares at the top and back up the truck on gold at $200 an ounce.
It was one of the trades of the century: tech stocks collapsed 80% to 90%, and gold kicked off a historic rally that brought it near $4,000 today. Naturally, his firm fired him… because Wall Street doesn't want you making real money; they want to collect fees on your wealth while it bleeds out.
Ed joined me to launch The Dollar Vigilante around 2010. Shortly after, we bumped into Bitcoin.
“Most Austrian economists back in 2011 were cynical or outright hostile toward Bitcoin because of Mises' Regression Theory—they thought money had to start as a physical commodity like gold. But once the market established a real exchange value, it proved that in the digital age, a scarce, peer-to-peer network with no intermediaries could perform the functions of money even better than precious metals.” — Ed Bugos
Ed was one of the very first formal financial analysts anywhere in the world to take a bullish stance on Bitcoin. Together, we’ve navigated every major cycle since.
Calling the Key Turning Points: From $3,500 to $125,000
When you look back at Ed’s track record alongside our team at The Crypto Vigilante (TCV), the call accuracy is unbelievable:
The 2017 Top & $3,000 Target: When Bitcoin hit $20,000 in late 2017, Ed turned bear and publicly called for a crash down to $3,000. People thought he was crazy—until Bitcoin bottomed right around $3,100.
The “Once-in-a-Lifetime” COVID Crash Bottom: In March 2020, as markets panicked and Bitcoin plummeted to around $3,500–$4,000, Ed was pounding the table in our member updates, calling it a once-in-a-lifetime buying opportunity before Bitcoin surged toward $66,000.
The “Tesla Moment” & 10x Run: Ed predicted that institutional adoption would trigger a massive squeeze beyond $20,000, calling the exact stair-step levels to $66,000 and the subsequent pullback to $33,000.
The FTX Bottom & $125K Expansion: During the 2022 FTX crash, Ed and Mr. A from TCV signaled the absolute bottom near $15,000. Bitcoin subsequently went on nearly an 8x run over $125,000.
So, Where Are We Heading Now?
Bitcoin is down roughly 50% from its recent highs, and many altcoins are beaten down by 80% to 90%.
As Ed pointed out during our chat, when an asset class has already suffered a massive correction, the downside risk becomes significantly smaller than the upside potential. While we might see a few more months of grinding or a final liquidity wash, we are fast approaching the window where life-changing entries are made.
If you wait until Bitcoin breaks out and hits the news again, you’re throwing away the biggest profit margins. The real money is made by getting in while the market is quiet.
Don't Miss Out: Crypto Week Is Live!
To make sure our readers are ready for the upcoming bottom, we are offering our biggest discount of the year during Crypto Week.
When you subscribe to The Crypto Vigilante, you also get full access to The Dollar Vigilante… giving you three packed newsletters a month covering crypto, gold, silver, macro economics, oil, and stock market hedges.
20% OFF your first year of TCV + TDV
30% OFF when you pay using CRYPTO!
Lock in your rate at: dollarvigilante.com/cryptoweek
Note on Pricing: We haven't raised our base subscription prices at TDV since we started in 2010, despite the US dollar losing well over half its purchasing power since then. We are going to have to raise rates soon, but if you lock in your membership during Crypto Week, you get this massive discount applied to our legacy pricing.
This offer ends this coming Sunday at midnight. Don't sit on the sidelines waiting for the financial system to tell you it's safe. Get ahead of the herd and get the analysis from the OGs who have been calling this market accurately for over 15 years.
Go to dollarvigilante.com/cryptoweek now to claim up to 30% off before the sale ends!
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